Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

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Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing historic results and 2018 loop information, we give a championship pick and also handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to battle for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one tournament in their own professions, while Logano is attempting to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 top-10 endings to earn his shot at Homestead.

Employing historic loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there really are not any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers innovative banking, which allows drivers to conduct many lines, together with the top lane often the fastest.

The track surface itself is also very abrasive, which makes new rubber a massive benefit and wears out tires.

With tire wear making cars challenging to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than at most other 1.5-mile tracks that are overly reliant upon aero for pace and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races might appear a bit arbitrary, but that number was chose on by me . 2014 was the very first year that NASCAR went to the current playoff format where drivers advance through the playoff of the sport until four stay to the title at Homestead.

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