NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

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For the first time this season, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the pioneer in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is searching for his fourth win of the year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 opportunity to receive it as he starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond odds have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders at this .75-mile brief track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and recent results into consideration.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Additionally, it nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. Now, his model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we can tell you that the version is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond chances.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a slightly slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he has revealed the rate needed to scale the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., one of the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, does not even crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th at Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week in Bristol, ending 17th. In his profession, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he has finished in the top five just 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.

The model is also targeting two other motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

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